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Saving and Dissaving with Hyperbolic Discounting -- by Dan Cao, Ivan Werning

Is the standard hyperbolic-discounting model capable of robust qualitative predictions for savings behavior? Despite results suggesting a negative answer, we provide a positive one. We give conditions...

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Demographics and FDI: Lessons from China's One-Child Policy -- by John B....

Lucas (1990) argues that the neoclassical adjustment process fails to explain the relative paucity of FDI inflows from rich to poor countries. In this paper we consider a natural experiment: using...

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Effects of Copyrights on Science - Evidence from the US Book Republication...

Copyrights for books, news, and other types of media are a critical mechanism to encourage creativity and innovation. Yet economic analyses continue to be rare, partly due to a lack of experimental...

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AI and International Trade -- by Avi Goldfarb, Daniel Trefler

This paper explores the international dimensions of the economics of artificial intelligence. Trade theory emphasizes the roles of scale, competition, and knowledge creation and knowledge diffusion as...

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Artificial Intelligence and Consumer Privacy -- by Ginger Zhe Jin

Thanks to big data, artificial intelligence (AI) has spurred exciting innovations. In the meantime, AI and big data are reshaping the risk in consumer privacy and data security. In this essay, I first...

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The Anatomy of a Trade Collapse: The UK, 1929-33 -- by Alan de Bromhead, Alan...

A recent literature explores the nature and causes of the collapse in international trade during 2008 and 2009. The decline was particularly great for automobiles and industrial supplies; it occurred...

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N-S Trade with Weak Institutions -- by James E. Anderson

States with weak institutions (South) can lose from institutional response to trade with North. A Ricardian model of trade subject to predation characterizes the case. South labor earns equal returns...

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Exchange Traded Funds 101 For Economists -- by Martin Lettau, Ananth Madhavan

Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) represent one of the most important financial innovations in decades. An ETF is an investment vehicle that trades intraday and seeks to replicate the performance of a...

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Do Management Interventions Last? Evidence from India -- by Nicholas Bloom,...

Beginning in 2008, we ran a randomized controlled trial that changed management practices in a set of Indian weaving firms (Bloom et al. 2013). In 2017 we revisited the plants and found three main...

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Do CCTs Improve Employment and Earnings in the Very Long-Term? Evidence from...

We assess long-term impacts of the Mexican conditional cash transfer (CCT) program on youth employment and earnings. We rely on the original random assignment into early and late treatment localities,...

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Longevity, Education, and Income: How Large is the Triangle? -- by Hoyt Bleakley

While health affects economic development and wellbeing through a variety of pathways, one commonly suggested mechanism is a "horizon" channel in which increased longevity induces additional education....

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What do we know about the effects of Austerity? -- by Alberto F. Alesina,...

This paper summarizes the results of a large recent literature on multi year fiscal plans for deficit reduction (austerity). The key results are that deficit reduction policies based upon spending cuts...

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AI as the next GPT: a Political-Economy Perspective -- by Manuel Trajtenberg

History suggests that dismal prophecies regarding the impact of great technological advances rarely come to pass. Yet, as many occupations will indeed vanish with the advent of AI as the new General...

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Unconventional Fiscal Policy -- by Francesco D'Acunto, Daniel Hoang, Michael...

Unconventional fiscal policy uses announcements of future increases in consumption taxes to generate inflation expectations and accelerate consumption expenditure. It is budget neutral and time...

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Prediction, Judgment and Complexity -- by Ajay K. Agrawal, Joshua S. Gans,...

We interpret recent developments in the field of artificial intelligence (AI) as improvements in prediction technology. In this paper, we explore the consequences of improved prediction in...

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Market Structure in Bitcoin Mining -- by June Ma, Joshua S. Gans, Rabee Tourky

We analyze the Bitcoin protocol for electronic peer-to-peer payments and the operations that support the "blockchain" that underpins it. It is shown that that protocol maps formally into a dynamic game...

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Financial Constraints, Institutions, and Foreign Ownership -- by Ron Alquist,...

This paper examines how external finance dependence, financial development, and institutions influence brownfield foreign direct investment (FDI). We develop a model of cross-border acquisitions in...

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High-Priced Drugs in Medicare Part D: Diagnosis and Potential Prescription --...

Drug pricing in the U.S. is a persistently vexing policy problem. While there is agreement among many policy analysts that supra competitive prices are necessary to promote innovation; significant...

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IOHK | Symphony of the BlockchainIOHK | Symphony of the Blockchain

The Symphony of Blockchain is an interactive, visual and auditory exploration of Bitcoin, cryptocurrency and the blockchain. It is an ongoing research initiative with a singular aim: to help bring...

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Weekly Top 5 Papers – January 29, 2018

1. Do Alpha Males Deliver Alpha? Testosterone and Hedge Funds by Yan Lu (University of Central Florida-Department of Finance) and Melvyn Teo (Singapore Management University – Lee Kong Chian School...

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